Friday, August 09, 2013

Worship at the Church of Dillon Blue...

Yep, a reloading day when I finish the day's television work. Here's an interesting story from U.S. News on the coming bloodbath in Republican primaries, specifically mentioning Colorado:
So the cannibalistic exercise that will be the Republican 2016p primary is hardly unfamiliar to Colorado voters. It's gained volume with the Rand Paul-Chris Christie spat, and shows no signs of abating with Texas GOP Sen. Ted Cruz visiting Iowa and urging a government shutdown. Meanwhile Paul, a senator from Kentucky, and the National Association for Gun Rights have already started attacking other Republicans for being too soft on gun rights.
This goes back to the "Watching the Republicans Commit Suicide" post I did a bit back. On one level I think what we're seeing is a growing schism between the old skol GOP and the gun culture/vote (and yes, Chris Christie signed the antigun laws in New Jersey). I think some of the old skol "conservative" pols (read, John McCain and his cabal) have an almost obsessive need to be "respected" by the political Left. Coupled with the fact that there was never a real depth of commitment in the mainstream Republicans for the Second Amendment, I think this may be an inevitable conflict.

Republicans have taken the gun vote for granted for more than 2 decades. When I started going to Washington and actually talking to "our" legislators, color me naive...I was shocked at how shallow their commitment to us actually was. For years it didn't make any difference, because our enemies hadn't really be able to mount a major's easy to support gun rights if all you have to do is mouth platitudes and occasionally pat us on the head like we're aging spaniels. With this year's brutal antigun offensive, though, the bill came due — and to their credit, the bulk of the Republican support held.

I think the developing schism is indeed between the libertarian — small "L" — side of the party and the  old skol, with the gun rights supporters solidly in the libertarian column. It's not that the old skol is antigun, it's just that in their view gun rights as ranking slightly lower than "opposition to lead paint" on their list of important topics. My experience in talking with the old skol pols was that they couldn't quite grasp why we were so outspoken on gun rights. I recall an event in Washington where one Senator said to me something along the lines of  "I support and vote conservation and hunt deer every fall...what more do you want?" That's why the mainstream GOP can so enthusiastically embrace someone like Christie, one of the most antigun governors in America, and be completely blind as to the impending election disaster such support will guarantee.

I don't want a Republican President...I want an enthusiastically pro-gun President (who will, I concede, probably be a Republican). I don't want a President who says he will sign an AWB if it comes to his desk, so make sure it doesn't nudge nudge wink wink say no more (George W. Bush, more or less), but a President who says , "Hell no! I'll veto any bill I believe abrogates the Second Amendment!" We have had a tough year, and we've taken some serious losses. The net result of the most recent gun battles (so to speak) is that we are increasingly suspicious of pols who waffle, who talk out of both sides of their mouth about gun rights, who refuse to answer simple questions on where they stand. I say again...if the Republicans choose a dedicated antigun politician as their standard-bearer, after November 7, 2016, I suspect there wont be much of a Republican Party left. Consider one of Michael's Rules: Don't walk into a fan if you don't have to!


Anonymous said...

You people in the Denver area are so lucky. Our local conservative talk show hero, the brilliant Mandy Connell, is moving to Denver and starting next week. In three and a half years she has cracked the code on Kentucky politics in general and Louisville in particular. She made Congressman John Yarmuth cry on a regular basis. Give her a listen, you'll be singing her praise soon. She's a wonderful advocate for our side. regards, Alemaster

KevinC said...

Agree 100%: If a politician doesn't trust you enough to protect your life and the lives of your loved ones, they're not going to trust you enough to run the rest of your life either.

And the reverse is true as well. Want to get someone turned on the idea of smaller governments and libertarian ideas? Take them shooting. Once a person clues into the fact that there WILL NOT be a cop around when they need it and they themselves are in charge of their safety, they begin to question the need for a nanny state.

Or as Stephen Kruiser once said, "Firearms are the gateway drug to freedom."

kmitch200 said...

If the old establishment Reps think that demanding rights and liberty is somehow distasteful I can't imagine a better time to replace those worthless dipsticks.
I'll take a dozen Rand Pauls and a large order of Cruz please.
Hold the Rubio...

Overload in Colorado said...

Assuming the NRA agrees with you, they need to start a new campaign. Instead of "I'm the NRA and I vote" is needs to emphasize the non partisan nature of gun voters. Something like, "Gun Rights is my #1 issue, and #2, #3, #4..." or "I don't vote for parties, I vote Pro Gun Rights!" It might be too direct, but "Republicans ignored Gun Rights in 2008 & 2012. Don't ignore them in 2016" or "Republicans: ignore Gun Rights are your own peril"

"Gun Rights first, everything else second"

Michael Arizona said...

"I was shocked at how shallow their commitment to us actually was. For years it didn't make any difference, because our enemies hadn't really be able to mount a major's easy to support gun rights if all you have to do is mouth platitudes and occasionally pat us on the head like we're aging spaniels."

Spot on Michael, I worked in Illinois as a lobbyist for approx. 10 years. The ONLY thing any legislator thinks about is getting re-elected and raising money. All other issues are not important to them, only that they remain in office. Lip service is their game.

Politics is a snake pit.