Saturday, March 27, 2010

Where Will You Need Your Gun?

Good article from my friend Tom Givens at RangeMaster in Memphis:
Where Will You Need Your Gun?
Many, many people, including some who should know better, mistakenly believe that your home is the most likely place for one to need to use a defensive firearm. To me, this premise is obviously incorrect, so why do so many people believe it?
The answer is simple. Whether you read the newspaper, search the internet, or watch TV news, most of the legitimate self defense stories occur in the defender’s home. Since most of the defensive incidents you become aware of happened in the defender’s home, you begin to become convinced that the home is where most attacks take place. There is a ridiculously easy explanation for why the home is so overrepresented in these reports.
According to various studies, about half of the households in the United States contain firearms. So, when at home, 50% of the US population has access to guns. Conversely, only 3% of the population has a handgun carry permit, so the vast majority of the US population does not have access to firearms when away from the home. Duh….. If you don’t have access to a firearm when attacked, you will not be able to defend yourself with a firearm. So, the only reason the majority of successful defensive gun uses occur in the home is that is the only place most people have access to a gun. Simple.
In fact, you are far more likely to be attacked in a life-threatening manner away from home. Thus, one should be armed whenever one is away from home. That is the purpose of a carry permit and skill with a personal sidearm—the sidearm is the weapon carried away from home. To illustrate, here are some statistics from the United States Department of Justice, looking at Robbery Locations for the year 2007:
Street- 43.8% 
Commercial- 13.9%
Residence- 15.2%
Banks- 2.1%
Gas station- 2.6%
Miscellaneous- 16.8%.
So, you are almost three times as likely to be robbed on the street than at home, and in the home only accounts for 1 robbery in 6. Similar patterns exist for rape, aggravated assaults, etc. In fact, good locks, an alarm system, and proper lighting can reduce your risk of violent crime at home to very low levels.
Once you leave your home, though, you have no control over such items. The one thing you can control is having your emergency safety equipment with you, so you can respond to emergencies that occur away from home.
Remember, the gun you left at home won’t help you anywhere else.


George said...

I agree with Tom's overall conclusion about carrying a gun for self protection, but he makes the logical fallacy of using a distribution to make a prediction.

It is incorrect to say that since robberies away from home are 3 times higher than at home, therefore one is 3 times more likely to be robbed on the street than at home. That may or may not be true, but one can not use a percentage distribution like that.

What should be done is a logit regression. This will give the reader a better understanding of how susceptible they are to a robbery outside of the home versus in the home.

ericire12 said...

Great info.... Thanks

ccw1911 said...

The answer is not where but when,the answer is when you never thought you would.

EJ said...

The only important percentage is that you are 100% prepared.

And many thanks Michael Banes for helping with that by working to bring us Best Defense. That show has led to me being more prepared than I would have been otherwise, even in situations where I may not be able to carry all the time.

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